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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Breña Baja: PP would keep its majority

Breña Baja (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 5,885 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 53.4% of the vote (2023: 51.5%) Majority 90%
CCA−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 23.9% of the vote (2023: 27.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 17.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

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3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Breña Baja

Breña Baja is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 5,885 inhabitants, the 28th largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 51.5% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; CCA was second with 4. 65.1% of the 4,622 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 90% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 51.5% → 53.4% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 27.8% → 23.9% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 17.1% → 14.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.0% → 6.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,011 valid votes including 48 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Breña Baja in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →