Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Monterrubio de Armuña: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Monterrubio de Armuña (Salamanca, 1,335 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.6% of the vote (2023: 46.2%) Majority 23%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 32.2%) Majority 1%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 12.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 6.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 76% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Monterrubio de Armuña

Monterrubio de Armuña is a municipality in the province of Salamanca with 1,335 inhabitants, the 20th largest of its 362 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 46.2% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 67.8% of the 1,036 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 46.2% → 41.6% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.2% → 31.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 12.7% → 13.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.8% → 12.3% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 702 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Monterrubio de Armuña in size, in Salamanca

Every municipality in Salamanca → · All of Spain →