Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Carrascal de Barregas: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Carrascal de Barregas (Salamanca, 1,356 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 34.0% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority 2%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.4% of the vote (2023: 37.9%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 28.0% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 36.6% → 34.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 37.9% → 32.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 19.9% → 28.0% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 3.9% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 694 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Carrascal de Barregas in size, in Salamanca

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