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Carrascal de Barregas: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Carrascal de Barregas (Salamanca, 1,356 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 34.0% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority 2%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.4% of the vote (2023: 37.9%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 28.0% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Carrascal de Barregas

Carrascal de Barregas is a municipality in the province of Salamanca with 1,356 inhabitants, the 19th largest of its 362 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 37.9% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 3. 64.9% of the 1,070 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 3 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 36.6% → 34.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 37.9% → 32.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 19.9% → 28.0% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 3.9% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 694 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Carrascal de Barregas in size, in Salamanca

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