Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Pelabravo: PP would keep its majority

Pelabravo (Salamanca, 1,284 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 69.1% of the vote (2023: 67.8%) Majority over 99%
CS+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 20.3% of the vote (2023: 19.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 67.8% → 69.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. CSCiudadanos 19.0% → 20.3% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 11.7% → 9.1% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 717 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pelabravo in size, in Salamanca

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