Guardo: PP would keep its majority
Guardo (Palencia, 5,695 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 50%PP majority
- 3,046valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 50% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Guardo
Guardo is a municipality in the province of Palencia with 5,695 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 191 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 47.8% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 61.7% of the 4,938 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 50% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 47.8% → 46.1% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 35.5% → 31.1% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 9.4% → 15.4% 1 → 2 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 5.7% → 5.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,046 valid votes including 47 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.