Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Saldaña: PP would keep its majority

Saldaña (Palencia, 2,905 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 51.7% of the vote (2023: 53.9%) Majority 74%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 28.5% of the vote (2023: 32.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.2% of the vote (2023: 11.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 53.9% → 51.7% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 32.9% → 28.5% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.6% → 18.2% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,701 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Saldaña in size, in Palencia

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