Cervera de Pisuerga: PP would win a majority
Cervera de Pisuerga (Palencia, 2,256 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 58%PP majority
- 1,424valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cervera de Pisuerga
Cervera de Pisuerga is a municipality in the province of Palencia with 2,256 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 191 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 49.3% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 5. 75.8% of the 1,878 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 58% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 48.3% → 50.1% 5 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 49.3% → 47.5% 6 → 5 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,424 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.