Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Villamuriel de Cerrato: PP would keep its majority

Villamuriel de Cerrato (Palencia, 6,485 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
10 councillors (2023: 9) · 68.0% of the vote (2023: 66.9%) Majority over 99%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%
IU-PODEMOS−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.5% of the vote (2023: 14.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 2.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 66.9% → 68.0% 9 → 10 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 14.6% → 12.0% 2 → 1 councillors
  3. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 14.4% → 11.5% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.9% → 7.4% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,465 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villamuriel de Cerrato in size, in Palencia

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