Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Dueñas: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Dueñas (Palencia, 2,592 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 42.3% of the vote (2023: 44.9%) Majority 35%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.4% of the vote (2023: 28.3%) Majority 0%
IU-PODEMOS−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 15.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.2% of the vote (2023: 3.4%) Majority 0%
CS+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Dueñas

Dueñas is a municipality in the province of Palencia with 2,592 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 191 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 44.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 73.1% of the 2,146 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 44.9% → 42.3% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.3% → 28.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 15.0% → 12.1% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.4% → 8.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 7.4% → 8.0% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,569 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Dueñas in size, in Palencia

Every municipality in Palencia → · All of Spain →