Vilar de Barrio: B.N.G. would win a majority
Vilar de Barrio (Ourense, 1,206 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 97%B.N.G. majority
- 921valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Vilar de Barrio
Vilar de Barrio is a municipality in the province of Ourense with 1,206 inhabitants, the 51st largest of its 92 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 B.N.G. came first with 44.8% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 3. 82.1% of the 1,122 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps B.N.G. on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- B.N.G.BNG 44.8% → 57.6% 4 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 28.3% → 22.7% 3 → 2 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 25.6% → 18.4% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 921 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.