Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Castro Caldelas: PSDEG-PSOE would keep its majority

Castro Caldelas (Ourense, 1,177 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSDEG-PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 48.4% of the vote (2023: 51.0%) Majority 57%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 46.7% of the vote (2023: 45.8%) Majority 43%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 51.0% → 48.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 45.8% → 46.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. B.N.G.BNG 2.8% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 888 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castro Caldelas in size, in Ourense

Every municipality in Ourense → · All of Spain →