Vilar de Barrio: B.N.G. would win a majority
Vilar de Barrio (Ourense, 1,206 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 97%B.N.G. majority
- 921valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
B.N.G.+2
6
councillors (2023: 4) · 57.6% of the vote (2023: 44.8%)
Majority 97%
PP−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 28.3%)
Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 25.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- B.N.G.BNG 44.8% → 57.6% 4 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 28.3% → 22.7% 3 → 2 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 25.6% → 18.4% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 921 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.