Carballeda de Avia: PSDEG-PSOE would keep its majority
Carballeda de Avia (Ourense, 1,219 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 73%PSDEG-PSOE majority
- 896valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSDEG-PSOE±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 48.2% of the vote (2023: 51.7%)
Majority 73%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 30.3% of the vote (2023: 30.6%)
Majority 1%
AECA±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.6% of the vote (2023: 11.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 51.7% → 48.2% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 30.6% → 30.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- AECALocal lists 11.9% → 12.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 5.2% → 8.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 896 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.