Trasmiras: B.N.G. would win a majority
Trasmiras (Ourense, 1,261 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 68%B.N.G. majority
- 899valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
B.N.G.+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 49.5% of the vote (2023: 37.4%)
Majority 68%
PP−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 44.8% of the vote (2023: 53.3%)
Majority 32%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- B.N.G.BNG 37.4% → 49.5% 4 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 53.3% → 44.8% 5 → 4 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 9.2% → 5.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 899 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.