Olite/Erriberri: no list would have a majority, AO/EE largest
Olite/Erriberri (Navarra, 3,980 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 88%no list with a majority
- 2,024valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
AO/EE+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 37.2% of the vote (2023: 35.3%)
Majority 5%
UPN±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 36.2% of the vote (2023: 34.3%)
Majority 6%
PSN-PSOE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 19.9%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 8.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AO/EELocal lists 35.3% → 37.2% 4 → 5 councillors
- UPNUPN 34.3% → 36.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSN-PSOEPSOE 19.9% → 17.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 8.0% → 7.1% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,024 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.