Murchante: MXM would keep its majority
Murchante (Navarra, 4,156 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 92%MXM majority
- 2,095valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Murchante
Murchante is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 4,156 inhabitants, the 26th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 MXM came first with 46.3% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSN-PSOE was second with 4. 70.4% of the 2,976 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps MXM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 92% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- MXMLocal lists 46.3% → 49.1% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSN-PSOEPSOE 29.3% → 26.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- UPNUPN 10.7% → 11.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- I.M / M.E.Local lists 5.7% → 6.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 5.8% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,095 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.