Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Mendigorría: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Mendigorría (Navarra, 1,124 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 56.4% of the vote (2023: 55.8%) Majority 90%
XM MENDIGORRIA±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 40.6% of the vote (2023: 41.2%) Majority 10%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Mendigorría

Mendigorría is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 1,124 inhabitants, the 81st largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 55.8% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; XM MENDIGORRIA was second with 4. 74.7% of the 854 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 90% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 55.8% → 56.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. XM MENDIGORRIALocal lists 41.2% → 40.6% 4 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 638 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mendigorría in size, in Navarra

Every municipality in Navarra → · All of Spain →