Los Arcos: ILA would keep its majority
Los Arcos (Navarra, 1,139 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 92%ILA majority
- 657valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ILA±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 57.1% of the vote (2023: 57.1%)
Majority 92%
TPLA±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 42.0% of the vote (2023: 42.0%)
Majority 8%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ILALocal lists 57.1% → 57.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- TPLALocal lists 42.0% → 42.0% 4 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 657 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.