Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cintruénigo: UPN would win a majority

Cintruénigo (Navarra, 8,106 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UPN+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 47.9% of the vote (2023: 44.9%) Majority 52%
PSN-PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 33.0% of the vote (2023: 35.8%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
A.P.C.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 48% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UPNUPN 44.9% → 47.9% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PSN-PSOEPSOE 35.8% → 33.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 11.1% → 10.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. A.P.C.Local lists 7.0% → 7.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,766 valid votes including 45 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cintruénigo in size, in Navarra

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