Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Caparroso: no list would have a majority, PSN-PSOE largest

Caparroso (Navarra, 2,783 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSN-PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.1% of the vote (2023: 44.4%) Majority 23%
C.P.F±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.0% of the vote (2023: 27.5%) Majority 0%
UPN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.8% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%
EH BILDU±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 7.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 77% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Caparroso

Caparroso is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 2,783 inhabitants, the 45th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSN-PSOE came first with 44.4% of the vote and 5 seats; C.P.F was second with 3. 75.3% of the 1,925 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSN-PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSN-PSOEPSOE 44.4% → 41.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. C.P.FLocal lists 27.5% → 29.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. UPNUPN 18.7% → 19.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. EH BILDUEH Bildu 7.5% → 8.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,449 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Caparroso in size, in Navarra

Every municipality in Navarra → · All of Spain →