Esteribar: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest
Esteribar (Navarra, 2,792 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 93%no list with a majority
- 1,522valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 36.5% of the vote (2023: 35.0%)
Majority 7%
OE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 25.4%)
Majority 0%
I.D.E.±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 23.9% of the vote (2023: 23.5%)
Majority 0%
ALTERNATIVA ESTERIBAR±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 10.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 35.0% → 36.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- OELocal lists 25.4% → 25.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- I.D.E.Local lists 23.5% → 23.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- ALTERNATIVA ESTERIBARLocal lists 10.0% → 10.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSN-PSOEPSOE 2.6% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,522 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.