Esteribar: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest
Esteribar (Navarra, 2,792 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 93%no list with a majority
- 1,522valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Esteribar
Esteribar is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 2,792 inhabitants, the 44th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 35% of the vote and 4 seats; OE was second with 3. 71.1% of the 2,141 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EH BILDU would be largest on 4 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 35.0% → 36.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- OELocal lists 25.4% → 25.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- I.D.E.Local lists 23.5% → 23.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- ALTERNATIVA ESTERIBARLocal lists 10.0% → 10.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSN-PSOEPSOE 2.6% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,522 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.