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Berrioplano/Berriobeiti: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest

Berrioplano/Berriobeiti (Navarra, 7,453 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 21.6%) Majority 0%
UPN+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%
PLAZAOLA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 16.0%) Majority 0%
AAB±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 12.9%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 13.3%) Majority 0%
VPA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 10.4%) Majority 0%
PSN-PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.4% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Berrioplano/Berriobeiti

Berrioplano/Berriobeiti is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 7,453 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 21.6% of the vote and 3 seats; UPN was second with 2. 62.5% of the 4,812 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EH BILDU would be largest on 3 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 21.6% → 23.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. UPNUPN 17.6% → 18.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PLAZAOLALocal lists 16.0% → 16.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. AABLocal lists 12.9% → 13.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 13.3% → 12.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. VPALocal lists 10.4% → 10.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. PSN-PSOEPSOE 7.0% → 4.4% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,007 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Berrioplano/Berriobeiti in size, in Navarra

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