Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Bera: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Bera (Navarra, 3,771 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 69.0% of the vote (2023: 67.7%) Majority over 99%
HERRIRAKO±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.6% of the vote (2023: 15.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Bera

Bera is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 3,771 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 67.7% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; HERRIRAKO was second with 2. 62.2% of the 2,794 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 67.7% → 69.0% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. HERRIRAKOLocal lists 15.8% → 15.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. GBAILocal lists 7.5% → 7.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. UPNUPN 6.0% → 6.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 1.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,739 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bera in size, in Navarra

Every municipality in Navarra → · All of Spain →