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Mendavia: no list would have a majority, UPN largest

Mendavia (Navarra, 3,560 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UPN±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 46.9% of the vote (2023: 44.5%) Majority 48%
PSN-PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 31.9% of the vote (2023: 35.2%) Majority under 1%
MD±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 51% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Mendavia

Mendavia is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 3,560 inhabitants, the 35th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 UPN came first with 44.5% of the vote and 5 seats; PSN-PSOE was second with 4. 73.1% of the 2,710 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: UPN would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UPNUPN 44.5% → 46.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSN-PSOEPSOE 35.2% → 31.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. MDLocal lists 18.7% → 19.7% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,980 valid votes including 32 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mendavia in size, in Navarra

Every municipality in Navarra → · All of Spain →