Baztan: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest
Baztan (Navarra, 7,851 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 70%no list with a majority
- 3,939valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 41.8% of the vote (2023: 39.2%)
Majority 30%
BAZTANGO INDEPENDIENTEAK - INDEPENDIENTES DEL BAZT+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 18.7%)
Majority 0%
ZUREKIN BAZTAN−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 22.0%)
Majority 0%
UPN±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 11.7%)
Majority 0%
GBAI±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 6.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 70% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 39.2% → 41.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- BAZTANGO INDEPENDIENTEAK - INDEPENDIENTES DEL BAZTLocal lists 18.7% → 19.4% 2 → 3 councillors
- ZUREKIN BAZTANSumar, Podemos and allies 22.0% → 18.0% 3 → 2 councillors
- UPNUPN 11.7% → 12.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- GBAILocal lists 6.8% → 7.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,939 valid votes including 67 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Baztan in size, in Navarra
- Cintruénigo8,106 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Altsasu/Alsasua7,504 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Berrioplano/Berriobeiti7,453 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Corella8,336 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Noáin (Valle de Elorz)/Noain (Elortzibar)8,367 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Huarte/Uharte7,312 inhabitants · 13 councillors