España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Ayegui/Aiegi: AU would keep its majority

Ayegui/Aiegi (Navarra, 2,488 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AU±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 52.6% of the vote (2023: 52.9%) Majority 90%
IPA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.9% of the vote (2023: 22.1%) Majority 0%
EH BILDU±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.8% of the vote (2023: 21.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AULocal lists 52.9% → 52.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. IPALocal lists 22.1% → 21.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. EH BILDUEH Bildu 21.3% → 21.8% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,102 valid votes including 41 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ayegui/Aiegi in size, in Navarra

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