Carcastillo: IC would keep its majority
Carcastillo (Navarra, 2,428 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 89%IC majority
- 1,277valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
IC±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 55.6% of the vote (2023: 55.6%)
Majority 89%
UPN±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 41.7% of the vote (2023: 41.7%)
Majority 11%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ICLocal lists 55.6% → 55.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- UPNUPN 41.7% → 41.7% 5 → 5 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,277 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.