Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Etxarri Aranatz: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Etxarri Aranatz (Navarra, 2,506 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+1
11 councillors (2023: 10) · 79.1% of the vote (2023: 77.9%) Majority over 99%
UPN−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.2% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 77.9% → 79.1% 10 → 11 councillors
  2. UPNUPN 7.2% → 7.2% 1 → 0 councillors
  3. PPPP 4.7% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,120 valid votes including 114 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Etxarri Aranatz in size, in Navarra

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