Ablitas: UPN would keep its majority
Ablitas (Navarra, 2,557 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 98%UPN majority
- 1,510valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
UPN±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 62.8% of the vote (2023: 59.5%)
Majority 98%
PSN-PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 35.8% of the vote (2023: 39.1%)
Majority 2%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UPNUPN 59.5% → 62.8% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSN-PSOEPSOE 39.1% → 35.8% 4 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,510 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.