Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Puerto Lumbreras: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Puerto Lumbreras (Murcia, 16,564 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 40.3%) Majority 13%
PSOE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 38.7% of the vote (2023: 42.4%) Majority 14%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 73% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Puerto Lumbreras

Puerto Lumbreras is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 16,564 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 42.4% of the vote and 8 seats; PP was second with 8. 70.9% of the 10,814 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 8 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.3% → 39.8% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 42.4% → 38.7% 8 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.6% → 14.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. VALORESLocal lists 3.5% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. IU-VSumar, Podemos and allies 4.2% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,663 valid votes including 85 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Puerto Lumbreras in size, in Murcia

Every municipality in Murcia → · All of Spain →