Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Moratalla: PP would keep its majority

Moratalla (Murcia, 7,753 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 57.8% of the vote (2023: 54.2%) Majority 95%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 28.6% of the vote (2023: 30.0%) Majority 0%
IU-VERDES+PODEMOS−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 14.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Moratalla

Moratalla is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 7,753 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 54.2% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 68.2% of the 6,268 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.2% → 57.8% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.0% → 28.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. IU-VERDES+PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 14.2% → 11.9% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,273 valid votes including 70 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Moratalla in size, in Murcia

Every municipality in Murcia → · All of Spain →