Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Librilla: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Librilla (Murcia, 5,619 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.1% of the vote (2023: 40.9%) Majority 8%
UPRL±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 30.2% of the vote (2023: 29.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.9% of the vote (2023: 21.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 6.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.9% → 39.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. UPRLLocal lists 29.9% → 30.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 21.6% → 17.9% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.7% → 11.9% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,940 valid votes including 26 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Librilla in size, in Murcia

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