Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Pliego: PP would keep its majority

Pliego (Murcia, 3,901 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 48.9% of the vote (2023: 51.0%) Majority 69%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.2% of the vote (2023: 24.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 9.3%) Majority 0%
PAS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.0% of the vote (2023: 14.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 31% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Pliego

Pliego is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 3,901 inhabitants, the 38th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 51% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 79.1% of the 3,025 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 69% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 51.0% → 48.9% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 24.1% → 20.2% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.3% → 15.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PASLocal lists 14.9% → 15.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,394 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pliego in size, in Murcia

Every municipality in Murcia → · All of Spain →