Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Los Alcázares: PSOE would keep its majority

Los Alcázares (Murcia, 17,603 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
12 councillors (2023: 13) · 63.7% of the vote (2023: 69.0%) Majority 99%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 20.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.8% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 69.0% → 63.7% 13 → 12 councillors
  2. PPPP 20.8% → 19.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.5% → 15.8% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,719 valid votes including 42 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Los Alcázares in size, in Murcia

Every municipality in Murcia → · All of Spain →