Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Las Torres de Cotillas: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Las Torres de Cotillas (Murcia, 21,980 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 37.9% of the vote (2023: 43.0%) Majority 8%
PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 28.0% of the vote (2023: 29.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.9% of the vote (2023: 17.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 43.0% → 37.9% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.6% → 28.0% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 17.7% → 25.9% 4 → 6 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 4.5% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. DLTLocal lists 2.8% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 1.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,359 valid votes including 92 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Las Torres de Cotillas in size, in Murcia

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