La Unión: no list would have a majority, PP largest
La Unión (Murcia, 20,656 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 90%no list with a majority
- 8,654valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 90% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Unión
La Unión is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 20,656 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 38% of the vote and 9 seats; PSOE was second with 9. 60.5% of the 14,301 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 9 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 38.0% → 37.1% 9 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 34.9% → 31.1% 9 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 10.1% → 16.6% 2 → 4 councillors
- DLULocal lists 6.1% → 6.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- MC LULocal lists 4.5% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU-VERDES+PODEMOS+AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,654 valid votes including 92 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.