Cartagena: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Cartagena (Murcia, 216,961 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 93,151valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cartagena
Cartagena is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 216,961 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 34.3% of the vote and 10 seats; MC CARTAGENA was second with 8. 59.6% of the 156,297 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 10 of 27.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 34.3% → 33.0% 10 → 10 councillors
- MC CARTAGENALocal lists 25.7% → 26.3% 8 → 8 councillors
- VOXVox 12.6% → 19.7% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 13.2% → 10.2% 4 → 3 councillors
- SI CARTAGENALocal lists 5.4% → 5.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOS+IZQUIERDA UNIDA-VERDES+AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.0% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.1% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCTLocal lists 0.4% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCANLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- ESCAÑOS EN BLANCOLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- INXCARTLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- POR MI REGIÓNLocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- MR-VESumar, Podemos and allies 1.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 93,151 valid votes including 691 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.