Lorca: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Lorca (Murcia, 97,151 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 88%no list with a majority
- 40,610valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
10
councillors (2023: 11) · 39.7% of the vote (2023: 40.9%)
Majority 12%
PSOE−1
8
councillors (2023: 9) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 33.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX+3
7
councillors (2023: 4) · 25.5% of the vote (2023: 17.1%)
Majority 0%
IU-VERDES + PODEMOS +AV−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.0% of the vote (2023: 5.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 40.9% → 39.7% 11 → 10 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 33.5% → 29.5% 9 → 8 councillors
- VOXVox 17.1% → 25.5% 4 → 7 councillors
- IU-VERDES + PODEMOS +AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.3% → 3.0% 1 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- VALORESLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- MR-VESumar, Podemos and allies 0.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 40,610 valid votes including 386 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.