Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Campos del Río: PSOE would keep its majority

Campos del Río (Murcia, 2,090 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 53.0% of the vote (2023: 55.2%) Majority 85%
POR MI REGIÓN±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 31.7%) Majority under 1%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.2% of the vote (2023: 12.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 15% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Campos del Río

Campos del Río is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 2,090 inhabitants, the 40th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 55.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; POR MI REGIÓN was second with 4. 75.1% of the 1,636 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 85% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 55.2% → 53.0% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. POR MI REGIÓNLocal lists 31.7% → 34.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 12.6% → 12.2% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,229 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Campos del Río in size, in Murcia

Every municipality in Murcia → · All of Spain →