Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Aledo: AA would keep its majority

Aledo (Murcia, 1,110 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AA±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 49.0% of the vote (2023: 47.6%) Majority 72%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 33.4%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 18.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 28% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AALocal lists 47.6% → 49.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 33.4% → 29.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 18.1% → 17.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 0.7% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 842 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Aledo in size, in Murcia

Every municipality in Murcia → · All of Spain →