Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Canillas de Aceituno: PP would keep its majority

Canillas de Aceituno (Málaga, 1,722 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 58.3% of the vote (2023: 59.9%) Majority 97%
PSOE-A±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.5% of the vote (2023: 29.4%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 59.9% → 58.3% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 29.4% → 25.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.8% → 16.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 926 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Canillas de Aceituno in size, in Málaga

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