Gaucín: PP would keep its majority
Gaucín (Málaga, 1,608 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 98%PP majority
- 915valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 63.6% of the vote (2023: 61.4%)
Majority 98%
PSOE-A±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 35.3% of the vote (2023: 37.5%)
Majority 2%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 61.4% → 63.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 37.5% → 35.3% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 915 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.