Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cuevas del Becerro: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Cuevas del Becerro (Málaga, 1,609 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 38.8% of the vote (2023: 39.6%) Majority 9%
MAS PUEBLO LA CUEVA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 36.4% of the vote (2023: 32.3%) Majority 3%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.9% of the vote (2023: 23.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 39.6% → 38.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. MAS PUEBLO LA CUEVALocal lists 32.3% → 36.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 23.4% → 20.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 3.5% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,087 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cuevas del Becerro in size, in Málaga

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