Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Burgo: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

El Burgo (Málaga, 1,791 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.6% of the vote (2023: 41.1%) Majority 25%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 40.3% of the vote (2023: 42.0%) Majority 19%
BUP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 9.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 56% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 41.1% → 41.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 42.0% → 40.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. BUPLocal lists 9.3% → 10.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 7.1% → 6.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,166 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Burgo in size, in Málaga

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