Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Almargen: no list would have a majority, CON ANDALUCÍA largest

Almargen (Málaga, 1,927 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CON ANDALUCÍA−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 46.5% of the vote (2023: 48.1%) Majority 43%
PP+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 30.5% of the vote (2023: 28.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 23.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 48.1% → 46.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.0% → 30.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 23.3% → 22.5% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,285 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almargen in size, in Málaga

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