Arenas: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Arenas (Málaga, 1,249 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 85%no list with a majority
- 770valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arenas
Arenas is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 1,249 inhabitants, the 72nd largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 38.7% of the vote and 4 seats; CON ANDALUCÍA was second with 3. 82.4% of the 935 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 38.7% → 41.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 36.8% → 34.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 24.4% → 23.4% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 770 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.