Arenas: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Arenas (Málaga, 1,249 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 85%no list with a majority
- 770valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 41.9% of the vote (2023: 38.7%)
Majority 15%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 34.6% of the vote (2023: 36.8%)
Majority 1%
PSOE-A±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 24.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 38.7% → 41.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 36.8% → 34.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 24.4% → 23.4% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 770 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.