Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Comares: PP would win a majority

Comares (Málaga, 1,320 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 46.1% of the vote (2023: 45.9%) Majority 45%
AVCM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 44.7% of the vote (2023: 42.3%) Majority 36%
PSOE-A−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 19% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 45.9% → 46.1% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. AVCMLocal lists 42.3% → 44.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 11.4% → 8.8% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 710 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Comares in size, in Málaga

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